The Red Nation : What happens next in Nepal?

The people have decided and shown their hunger for change-a radical change. The winds of change will transform the nation and lead it to a new direction-as many believe. “Rapid economic growth” + ‘sustainable peace’ and “end to the conflict” were the mantra’s of the rebels equipped by a slogan “You have seen them all, now see us !”.

There are some cons too and there may be many more to come.

There are these preliminary actions that may be seen in about 2 weeks or before, once poll count end:

1. Abolition of Monarchy: Although the SPAM Agreement mentioned that in order to abolish monarchy a 2/3 majority would be required in the first meeting of the constituent assembly legislature; it seemed possible at this point. Maoists have gained 52% of the seats declared so far. If they are successful in having UML as their allies in obtaining 2/3 majority, THIS IS POSSIBLE. However, if the minorities unite for the sake of their own coexistence and resist the Maoists, thereby saving the monarchy [a puppet], things may be a little bit different. The Maoists may on the other hand, if successful strip the monarch forever and let them continue their lives as citizens. He may also have to face exile or trail.
2. YCL enters Narayanhiti Palace and pins the Red Flag: This is very likely. Given YCL’s uncontrolled and undisciplined nature, they can barge into the palace any time soon and put a flag atop the palace tower. YCL may also deface Hanumandhoka and Gorkha Palace soon.
3. Maoist Army Integration: The thousands of guerrillas will be integrated in the national army. There is already a conflict of seniority and ranking among the soldiers. On top, the recent intention of the Commander in Chief to resign from his position before the Maoists government takes effect, creates a serious question of faith, loyalty and sustainability of the security forces.
4. En-Masse-Pardon: It is almost certain that Maoists and their supporters who are in different prisons will be released. The impunity and increased confidence in crime will lead to extreme torture, extortion and rights violation across the nation.
5. Revival of People’s court: The People’s court will serve as a “Small Claims court” or ‘Mobile court’ nationwide where Maoists have their absolute control. Revival of cases, verdicts, physical punishment, execution, eye-for-an-eye deterrent justice system etc may prevail. The Maoists used to walk around the villages to hunt cases…The rebels give verdicts even while they are travelling on their way to villages, mocking the principle of natural justice.

AN EXAMPLE OF NEWS ON PEOPLE’S COURT IN NEPAL

http://www.hotelnepal.com/nepal_news.php?id=2460

Maoist people’s court harassing politicos, civilians :: D R PANT from Kantipuronline.com DADELDHURA, July 30 – The “people’s court” set up by local Maoists here in the district, despite Maoist supremo Prachanda’s announcement to dissolute such “courts” from urban areas, continues to pass ‘verdicts’ on over 200 cases lodged with the kangaroo court.Civilians, government employees, political cadres, among others, in the district have been ‘terrorized’ due to actions taken by such “courts”. Local leaders of other political parties claimed that the political activists, ideologically differing with the Maoists, have been the main targets of the “court”.”The Maoists walk around the villages to hunt cases,” said Pathan Singh Bohara of CPN-UML, adding, “The rebels give verdicts even while they are travelling on their way to villages, mocking the principle of natural justice.” Most of the cases dealt by the Maoists are related to sexual misconduct. “Their actions have resulted in social disintegration in the society,” said human rights activist Padam Pal. He also blamed the rebels of being insincere to the eight-point agreement reached between the government and Maoist leadership. When asked for comments, Ram Bahadur KC, a self-proclaimed judge of the regional court established in Adityapur of Dadeldhura, stated that it was the duty of a “people’s party” to take action on “complaints” put up by the people. Over a dozen individuals have been ‘convicted and made to serve’ at Maoist labour camps. Most of the accused are women, who are being held at several camps on the charge of being involved in “sex-crimes”. Also, over a dozen people from Doti, Baitadi, Kailali and Kanchanpur districts have been brought to the “court”. Political parties, human rights organizations and the international community have been calling for the Maoists to close down such courts. Partially heeding to the call, Prachanda announced last month that such courts would be scrapped in the Kathmandu Valley and the district headquarters.

SOON, THESE STEPS SHALL FOLLOW

1. A New Constitution and new laws: This is what the election is for… to write the constitution … many believe. However, the provision that the elected 240 seat CA legislatures may serve as lawmakers for 2 years at least, itself seems more that enough. The constitution, laws and regulations that shall be made by the red parliament will have adverse and radical affect on all walks of life.
2. Control over Media: Whenever CPNM has been in power, they have suppressed the media. Will they continue? They have absolute control over dissemination of news to the outside world.
3. Public Trails for the Culprits of Revolution-1 and Revolution 2: The earlier government never took action on the culprits of 1990 revolution. Will the Maoists take action on the 2006 culprits as well as 1996 culprits?
4. Hishila Yami Modality of education: About 2 years back Hisila Yami, known as Comrade Parvati and wife of Dr Babu Ram Bhattarai, disclosed CPNM modality of education which included grade 5 students course on home made weapons, mines, communism, Maoism and guerrilla tacts. In another interview she has mentioned what went wrong with Nepal’s education systems too.

COMMENTS, VIEWS, PREDICTIONS AND ARGUMENTS ARE WELCOME.